mehmet civan tarafından yazılan gönderiler

    1005 mb akdeniz ab dogu yonunde hareketiyle anadolunun batisinda 1020mb basinc hakim yagis yok. bati ve orta karadeniz guney dogu anadolu yoguin kar yagislari aliyor. orta anadolu kismen

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    60 h da kuzeyimizde 995 mb guneyimizde 1005mb ab leri net bir sekilde goruyoruz.

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    48 h da 500 de -40 lik cekirdek tekrar olusuyor

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    yagis durumu

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    36 h a kadar izobarlar


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    36 h a kadar 850 hpa

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    36 h a kadar 500hpa aksiyonu


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    madem neden ole yazdigimi aciklayim. sistem blokaj fakat tam atlanktikde denemez 2004 senesinden bahsediliyor sanirim o zamanda ayni paternde 4-5 sirkulasyon olmustu. patern benzer fakat ilk etapta gorulen girit uzerinden balkanlara yukselen bir ab ve akdeniz uzerinden kuzeydogu yonlu abir karadenize cikan ab miz var 1005 lik. girit uzerinden cikan balkanlara gidiyor o bolge alcakbasinc etkisinde kaliyor oradan sirkulasyon neticesinde uzerimize 1025 surekli yb bati anadolu uzerine uzanyor. kibris ab si karadenize yikselipdenizin orta ve dogusunda konumladigi icin merkezi ozelkle basta bati karadenize ve ulkemizin orta ve dogusuna guzel yagis birakiyor.

    4. sanirim en son salinima yakin senaryolarda olusabilir ilk etapta. ama sogklar uzun soluklu bu paternden her yer nasibini alir
    iste dedirdimiz bi parca daha koparmak :ıhıhıh: